FNUS75 KGJT 222023
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNS CANYON...SJNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
223 PM MDT THU SEP 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1345 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND INTO AND STRENGTHEN OVER
THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP SKIES MAINLY
CLEAR AND WINDS ON THE LIGHT SIDE...AND CONDITIONS DRY. THEREFORE
MODERATELY STRONG INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR SUNRISE
AND WILL MOST LIKELY NOT BREAK UNTIL THE VERY LATE MORNING HOURS.
LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE SURFACE AND WITH
THE BURN SITE ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE GENERAL NORTH WINDS ALOFT...
POOR TO MARGINALLY FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 35 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH AT 10 MPH OR LESS
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR BY MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...ANN MCDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110922.BURNS.02/GJT