FNUS75 KGJT 222115
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE MONITOR...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
315 PM MDT THU SEP 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1510 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND INTO AND STRENGTHEN OVER
THE GREAT BASIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP SKIES MAINLY
CLEAR...WINDS ON THE LIGHT SIDE AND CONDITIONS DRY. THEREFORE
MODERATELY STRONG INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR SUNRISE
AND WILL MOST LIKELY NOT BREAK UNTIL THE VERY LATE MORNING HOURS.
LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THROUGH MOST
OF THE DAY...MIXING OUT BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS...AND MAINLY
10 MPH OR LESS FROM THE NORTH. POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED
NEAR SUNSET AND PERSISTING INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY BECOMING NORTH AT AROUND
                    5 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THOUGH LATE MORNING...INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL OR LESS...INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 8 MPH BY SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPW/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 8 MPH THROUGH LATE
                    MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    FAIR BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...FRANK RICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110922.LITTL.01/GJT