FNUS75 KGJT 222144
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAKIE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
344 PM MDT THU SEP 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND INTO AND STRENGTHEN OVER
THE GREAT BASIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP SKIES MAINLY
CLEAR...WINDS ON THE LIGHT SIDE...AND CONDITIONS DRY WITH THE
STORM TRACK WELL TO THE NORTH. THEREFORE MODERATELY STRONG INVERSIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR SUNSET AND WILL MOST LIKELY NOT BREAK
UNTIL THE VERY LATE MORNING HOURS. LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS ARE
EXPECTED NEAR THE SURFACE WITH WINDS TURNING TO THE NORTH AND
ALIGNING WITH WINDS ALOFT BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. POOR SMOKE
DISPERSAL IS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE MID MORNING HOURS
AND INCREASE TO THE FAIR TO GOOD CATEGORY BY THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS. CONFIDENCE IN GETTING A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE TRANSPORT
WINDS IS NOT HIGH BUT MAY MIX HIGH ENOUGH ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON
TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH  THROUGH
                    NOON THEN NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING...INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL OR LESS INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS NEAR 10 MPH SHIFTING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 2 TO 8 MPH BY MID
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR BY SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING DECREASING
                    TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 8 MPH BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING INCREASING TO FAIR
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH LATE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110922.QUAKI.02/GJT