FNUS76 KPQR 222148
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHADOW LAKE...USFS WNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
248 PM PDT THU SEP 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1359 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS OVER THE FIRE. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH BELOW NORMAL
RH VALUES. HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR WITH IMPROVING
RECOVERIES FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE MARINE LAYER DEEPENS AS A FRONT
APPROACHES THE COAST. EXPECT DEEPER MARINE AIR TO POUR INTO THE
AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THIS FRONT INCHES EASTWARD. RAIN IS NOT
EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT UNTIL IT MOVES INLAND ON SUNDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...BUT 52-56 ON MID/UPPER SLOPES.
MAX HUMIDITY........GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE 75 PERCENT...BUT DOWN TO
                    50-60 PERCENT MID/UPPER SLOPES AND RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES:  SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3 TO 6
                       MPH THROUGH 1900 THEN EAST OR DOWN-SLOPE TO
                       3 MPH.

                    RIDGES:  SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.

HAINES INDEX(HIGH)..4 (LOW).



.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 TO 79...BUT 70 TO 75 AT 5000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 38 PERCENT...BUT DOWN TO 25 PERCENT SOUTH
                    ASPECTS AND EXPOSED RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES:  VARIABLE LESS THAN 3 MPH IN
                        THE MORNING THEN SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.

                    RIDGES:  SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN
                             6 TO 10 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
                             ESPECIALLY ON EXPOSED RIDGES.

HAINES INDEX(HIGH)..4 (LOW).

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM

TEMP............50     51     68     73     75     77
RH..............77     68     40     35     32     30
20 FT WIND......VRB 3  VRB 3  UP 3-5 UP 3-6 UP 3-7 SW 3-7
   MAX GUST.....                     8      10     12
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0



.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....HIGHS 74 TO 78...BUT 68 TO 73 NEAR 5000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES:  VARIABLE LESS THAN 3 MPH IN
                        THE MORNING THEN SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH
                        GUSTS TO 15 MPH.

                    RIDGES:  SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN
                             7 TO 13 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
                             ESPECIALLY ON EXPOSED RIDGES.

HAINES INDEX(HIGH)..4 (LOW).


.EXTENDED FORECAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

.SUNDAY....MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS 67 TO 72...BUT LOWER TO MID 60S AT
5000 FEET. MINIMUM RH 40 TO 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 12 MPH
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 18 MPH. RIDGE-TOP WIND SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 TO 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 7 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...PLANNING OPS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110922.SHADO.01/PQR