FNUS75 KVEF 221548 FWSVEF SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE VALLEY RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV 848 AM PDT THU SEP 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SUNNY SKY THIS MORNING WILL MIX WITH SOME CLOUDS BY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN SITE. THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY THEN DECREASE SEVERAL DEGREES BY SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. MIN HUMIDITY........17-25 PERCENT. 20 FT-10 MIN AVG..LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. 10K FT WIND.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 11 MPH. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....0 PERCENT. LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 2 THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. VENTILATION.........FAIR TO GOOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY THE REST OF TONIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-45. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT. 20 FT-10 MIN AVG..NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS. VENTILATION.........FAIR. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. MIN HUMIDITY........18-25 PERCENT. 20 FT-10 MIN AVG..EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 KNOTS IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. VENTILATION.........FAIR TO GOOD. $$ FORECASTER...STACHELSKI REQUESTED BY...AARON BALDWIN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110922.HORSE.01/VEF