FNUS73 KBIS 231323
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVIS 2-5...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
823 AM CDT FRI SEP 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA FROM THE
WEST TODAY. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 1 PM THEN DIMINISH SLOWLY AS THE
TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT RESULTING IN WINDS REMAINING SOUTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........29  29  29  29  29  30  30  30  30  30  30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............47  50  52  59  64  68  71  73  74  73  72
RH..............65  63  61  51  45  42  38  37  37  40  43
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..17  17  17  17  17  11  11  11  6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.                    15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........21  21  21  21  21  21  17  17  17  17  17  17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  62  59  57  56  54  53  52  51  50  49  49
RH..............51  62  72  77  77  80  83  83  86  89  89  89
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..0   0   0   6   6   6   6   6   6   0   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5                           5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...ABELING
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS GORDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110923.DAVIS.01/BIS