FNUS72 KJAX 231055 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIPPIN EAGLE FIRE...FL DOF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 655 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0647 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS EACH DAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS... DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. MOISTURE WILL DECREASE SOME THIS WEEKEND AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE FIRE WEATHER REGION...BUT WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. WINDS WILL BE 15 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS MAY BE STRONGER NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....17. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........83 90 90 84 85 85 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 76 85 89 89 89 RH..............100 100 77 64 59 62 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 S 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1500 2800 2800 4000 4000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 6 SW 6 SW 6 W 5 NW 5 LVORI...........M M M M M M DISPERSION INDX.2 11 18 18 17 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 50 50 70 70 LAL.............2 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....1. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............8. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........84 92 92 77 55 55 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 80 77 75 74 73 RH..............67 84 89 93 95 98 20 FT WIND......SE 3 E 3 SE 3 SE 3 S 2 S 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 1500 1500 900 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 5 N 5 N 5 E 3 S 2 S 2 LVORI...........8 8 8 8 8 8 DISPERSION INDX.14 2 2 2 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 50 50 50 20 20 LAL.............4 3 3 3 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....26. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...PRESNALL REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110923.TRIPP.01/JAX