FNUS75 KCYS 241914
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR FERRIS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
114 PM MDT SAT SEP 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1256 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL PERSIST OVER THE ROCKIES
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE FEATURE WEAKENS ON MONDAY AND A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE MONDAY MORNING.

WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER THE FIRE
SITE. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  EVEN STRONGER WINDS WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 14 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON...SUNDAY AND MONDAY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE
APPROACHED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND LIKELY REACHED MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96700 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE OR DOWNVALLEY
                    4-7 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD BECOMING POOR BY MIDNIGHT (1200-34400
                    KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 21 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL BY THE AFTERNOON.                  AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY MIDDAY (37300-154700
                    KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...WEILAND
REQUESTED BY...ZACH HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110924.FERRI.01/CYS