FNUS75 KGJT 252341
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GLENCO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
541 PM MDT SUN SEP 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1745 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONDAY A WEAK TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL UNDERCUT THE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE REGION. MOISTURE REMAINS RATHER
LIMITED BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR AN INCREASE IN
AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AS INSTABILITY
LINGERS OVER THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    8-12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) MORNING. THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....REACHING INTO THE HIGH END OF THE FAIR CATEGORY
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110925.GLENC.01/GJT