FNUS75 KMSO 252143
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR 41 COMPLEX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
343 PM MDT SUN SEP 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1512 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE FIRE FROM THE WEST WILL
ARRIVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING WINDS TO PICK UP FROM THE WEST.
WEST FACING SLOPES AND WEST/EAST DRAINAGES WILL BE MOST AFFECTED
BY THESE WINDS. SHOWERS WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING PRODUCING LITTLE RAINFALL BUT INCREASING WESTERLY WIND
GUSTS. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH SOME OF
THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND WILL BE A CONCERN THROUGH SUNSET. THE
CHANCE OF RAIN CONTINUES OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER LINE OF SHOWERS
MOVING INTO WESTERN MONTANA AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL AGAIN PICK
OF FROM THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL INVERSIONS MIX
OUT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGETOP WINDS WEST WINDS 9-17 MPH WITH GUSTS
    TO AROUND 30 MPH BECOMING WEST
    3-6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-9 MPH. BECOMING SW 2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.


$$
FORECASTER...LOEFFELBEIN
REQUESTED BY...KELLY MCKEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110925.41COM.01/MSO