FNUS75 KRIW 252250
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER PALMER CREEK...TETON INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
450 PM MDT SUN SEP 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1615 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE ON MONDAY. SOME MID TO HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. OTHERWISE...IT WILL
REMAIN DRY WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA. DRY AND MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LYNOTT

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-78 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100-2600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (91500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (17200
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-31 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (28800-71200 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LYNOTT
REQUESTED BY...PALMER CRK FEMO
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110925.UPPER.01/RIW