FNUS71 KAKQ 261009 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR LATERAL WEST...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 609 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE COAST WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ANOTHER SLOW MOVING FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY...AND WILL FINALLY PUSH OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY...USHERING IN MUCH COOLER AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-2300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (600-18700 FT-MPH). LVORI...............7. ADI.................4. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN A FEW STORMS POSSIBLE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 98 96 92 88 84 79 77 76 74 WEATHER COV.........ARS ARS ARS SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................69 69 70 72 74 76 77 79 79 79 79 78 RH..................100 97 97 95 87 85 82 77 77 74 74 76 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S E E E SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 9 9 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE N N NE SE SE SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 3 3 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 1 1 2 3 7 12 18 18 19 19 LVORI...............10 10 8 8 6 6 5 4 4 3 4 4 ADI.................0 1 2 1 1 0 1 4 7 4 0 0 HAINES INDEX........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (2300-13400 FT-MPH). LVORI...............7. ADI.................12...DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 9 AFTER MIDNIGHT...DECREASING TO 0 LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN NO TSTMS. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............72 71 69 64 59 54 60 67 73 75 78 81 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC TEMP................78 75 72 71 71 71 71 70 70 69 69 69 RH..................76 84 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 40 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 13 12 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....13 8 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 LVORI...............4 4 5 7 9 10 9 8 5 8 9 10 ADI.................8 12 16 11 3 0 4 10 13 9 4 0 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 LAL.................3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (1800-51500 FT-MPH). LVORI...............5. ADI.................7...DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 12 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 51...DECREASING TO 36 LATE...DECREASING TO 14...DECREASING TO 0 LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............84 85 85 85 81 76 72 68 63 66 69 72 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT TEMP................68 68 69 71 75 78 80 82 83 83 83 82 RH..................100 100 97 100 84 76 72 67 65 65 65 69 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 30 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.2 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 9 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15 14 14 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 2 2 7 13 20 30 40 51 52 51 50 LVORI...............9 8 6 8 4 4 3 3 1 1 2 4 ADI.................3 8 11 8 7 0 12 33 51 36 14 0 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 FORECASTER...BROWN REQUESTED BY...TOM CREWS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110926.LATER.01/AKQ