FNUS75 KGJT 252302
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR YOUTH CAMP RX...SOUTHERN UTE BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
502 PM MDT SUN SEP 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONDAY A WEAK TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL UNDERCUT THE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE REGION. MOISTURE REMAINS RATHER
LIMITED BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR AN INCREASE IN
AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AS INSTABILITY
LINGERS OVER THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110926.YOUTH.01/GJT