FNUS75 KPUB 261759
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1159 AM MDT MON SEP 26 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER BURN SITE THROUGH
TUESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE THAT
COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORM BOTH
TODAY AND AGAIN TUESDAY.  LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN QUITE
DRY SO MAIN CONCERNS WITH ANY STORMS WOULD BE LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC
WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........GENERALLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                    10-12 MPH AT TIMES.  WINDS COULD MIX DOWN BRIEFLY
                    FROM ALOFT...NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 12500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND.........GENERALLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                    10-12 MPH AT TIMES.  WINDS COULD MIX DOWN BRIEFLY
                    FROM ALOFT...NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    UNTIL 1700...THEN NORTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...TY WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110926.SANDG.01/PUB