FNUS75 KGJT 271748
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOLORES RIM RX...SJNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1148 AM MDT TUE SEP 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS SHOULD TURN FROM TERRAIN DRIVEN LATE THIS MORNING TO THE
WEST/NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AS MIXING INCREASES THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK INTO WESTERN COLORADO
TOMORROW AND INDUCE A LOWERING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WHILE BRINGING
LIGHTER WINDS IN ALOFT. AS A RESULT SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS WILL
BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN. HOWEVER SMOKE DISPERSAL THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD REACH INTO THE LOWER END OF THE GOOD CATEGORY. WINDS SHOULD
RETURN TO TERRAIN DRIVEN AROUND SUNSET AS SURFACE INVERSIONS QUICKLY
FORM.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH NOON
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AROUND NOON LIFTING TO THE LOW END OF GOOD
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL LATE THIS MORNING INCREASING TO
                    8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT 7 TO
                    10 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH EARLY
                    EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AT AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AROUND
                    SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH DROPPING TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...LINDA MURRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110927.DOLOR.01/GJT