FNUS75 KPUB 271002
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
402 AM MDT TUE SEP 27 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL
GIVE A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM THIS
AFTERNOON.  MAIN THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND OUTFLOW WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 MPH.  OTHERWISE EXPECTED GENERAL DIURNALLY DRIVEN
WINDS BUT SHOULD BE A BIT LIGHTER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION FOR TOMORROW WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES.  NO THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY.  WINDS
WILL REMAIN DIURNALLY DRIVEN AND BE A BIT STRONGER GIVEN THE
TEMPERATURE PROFILES ACROSS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    THROUGH 0900 BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH.  WINDS WILL TURN SOUTH SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 1500 AT 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52F.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AROUND
                    0900.  WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 1600
                    AT 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110927.BLACK.01/PUB