FNUS75 KPUB 272019
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUR ELK...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
219 PM MDT TUE SEP 27 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN AREA IS EXPECTED
TO DIE OFF PRETTY QUICKLY THIS EVENING AFTER 2000...AND THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENING ACROSS THE REGION WILL
ALLOW FOR CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT...AND WARM DRY CONDITIONS TOMORROW
WITH NIL PRECIPITATION AND TERRAIN-DRIVEN DIURNAL SURFACE WINDS.

*** THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ***

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST-SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH THROUGH 1900...THEN
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST-NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH THROUGH 0700...THEN
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 3-7 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110927.FOURE.02/PUB