FNUS75 KPUB 271841
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1241 PM MDT TUE SEP 27 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS BUILDING INTO THE REGION AND WILL PROVIDE
FOR MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS FOR THE
BURN AREA ON WEDNESDAY. WITH SUCH LIGHT WINDS ALOFT EXPECTED
...TERRAIN-DRIVEN DIURNAL FLOW IS FORECAST AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL.

*** THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ***

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(29 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST-SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH THROUGH 2000...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND
                    6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    4-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 9000 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR THROUGH 1700.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURES 65-70 F WITH SURFACE WINDS BECOMING EASTERLY 5-10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT DROPS DOWN THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE STATE. IT WILL MOST LIKELY TAKE MUCH OF THE DAY TO REACH
THE BURN AREA...SO LOOK FOR NORMAL TERRAIN-DRIVEN LIGHT WINDS
THROUGH THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH
1200...THEN BECOMING FAIR TO GOOD THROUGH 1900.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...TY WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110927.SANDG.02/PUB