FNUS76 KSTO 280037
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURST COMPLEX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
537 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO
THE BURN SITE THROUGH THURSDAY. SLOPE WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE
TERRAIN DRIVEN...WITH INCREASING RIDGE WINDS ON THURSDAY. A COOLING
TREND WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY BEGINS FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
NOTE...THE PINECREST OBS WOULD CORRELATE WELL WITH THE BOTTOM
ELEVATION OF THE FIRE...BUT WOULD LIKELY BE TOO WARM FOR THE TOP
ELEVATION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 AT 6000 FT...AROUND 72 AT 7300 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT AT 6000 FT...30-35 PERCENT AT
                    7300 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    8 TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO GROUND LEVEL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 AT 6000 FT...AROUND 73 AT 7300 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT AT 6000 FT...30-35 PERCENT AT
                    7300 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8000 TO 9000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...BRENT KAISER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110927.BURST.01/STO

$$