FNUS76 KMFR 281248
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAZE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
548 AM PDT WED SEP 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTH OREGON COAST WILL
SHIFT INLAND TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING 10 TO 13 DEGREES
HIGHER THAN TUESDAY. DRY AND EVEN WARMER WEATHER FOR THURSDAY UNDER
HIGH PRESSURE. LOOK FOR A MAJOR CHANGE IN THE WEATHER WITH 20 DEGREES
OF COOLING FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. THERE
IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE FOR MUCH COOLER WEATHER WITH WETTING RAINS
AND A POSSIBLE SEASON ENDING EVENT MONDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WIND TO 1 MPH BECOMING WEST UP TO 2 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............50     49     55     65     74     79
RH..............91     93     82     58     34     28

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............75     66     65     65     64     63
RH..............37     53     53     53     54     55

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............59     56     63     72     80     86
RH..............57     64     56     41     28     25

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 52 TO 57. HIGHS 72 TO 82. LIGHT WIND.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS 48 TO 53. HIGHS 62 TO 72. LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 48 TO 53.
HIGHS 61 TO 66. LIGHT WIND.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH/STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.BLAZE.01/MFR