FNUS75 KMSO 272346
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOCCASIN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
546 PM MDT TUE SEP 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DESPITE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE FIRE LATE IN
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...A LINGERING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
UPPER LEVEL JET WILL KEEP INCREASED WEST WINDS OVER THE
FIRE. THE UPPER REACHES OF THE FIRE COULD SEE GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DESPITE A COOLER AIRMASS IN
PLACE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ON THE LOWER
END AS DRIER AIR IS MIXED TO THE SURFACE WITH THE INCREASED WINDS.
EXPECT POOR RECOVERIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A RESULT. SURFACE
PRESSURE WILL INCREASE EAST OF THE DIVIDE TURNING THE WINDS
EASTERLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY. SPEEDS
WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER...5-7 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-12 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    AT THE RIDGETOP IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS DECREASING TO 6-9
                    MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...MALATARE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.MOCCA.01/MSO