FNUS74 KOUN 281244
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER HILL FIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
744 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0729 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM QUICKLY THROUGH THE MORNING... WITH HOT
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AROUND 20 PERCENT. A LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND IS FORECAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WILDFIRE
LOCATION THURSDAY. CURRENT FORECASTS HAVE WINDS BECOMING STRONG
AND GUSTY FROM THE NORTHEAST AROUND MIDDAY THURSDAY. WITH THE
FRONT ARRIVING AT THE PEAK OF SOLAR HEATING... VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY STILL BE AN ISSUE. STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     68     78     89     92     94
RH..............75     52     36     26     23     21
20 FT WIND......SE 2   S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    2500   5000   7100   7600   7600
MIX HGT (M).....60     760    1520   2160   2320   2320
TRANSPORT WIND..S 1    S 9    SW 9   SW 5   W 8    W 13
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 0    S 4    SW 4   SW 2   W 4    W 6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25
                    MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
NOT AS WARM. CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 7 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TAYLOR
REQUESTED BY...BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110928.TIMBE.01/OUN