FNUS75 KPUB 281004
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
404 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN.  WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY DELAY SOUTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS UNTIL MID AFTERNOON LIKE
THE WARMER DAYS EARLIER THIS WEEK.  NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING.  THIS WILL HELP BRING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INTO THE BURN SITE
EARLIER IN THE DAY.  THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH GUSTING TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    0800 BECOMING NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    NEAR 20 MPH FROM 0800 THROUGH 1600.  WINDS WILL
                    SHIFT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY AFTER 1600 AT 7 TO
                    11 MPH GUSTING TO NEAR 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    NORTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 7 MPH...THEN SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0900. 8500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. FAIR AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.BLACK.01/PUB