FNUS75 KPUB 291216 RRA
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
356 AM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS ARE GOING TO BE A SERIOUS ISSUE EARLY TODAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS MOVING DOWN THE PLAINS THIS MORNING AND
SHOULD CROSS PUEBLO AROUND 6 AM THIS MORNING AND REACH DOWN AROUND
THE BURN SITE LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL LIKELY BE QUITE ERRATIC
WHEN THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH AS THE BOUNDARY IS QUITE DEEP.

BLACK MTN RAWS WAS SHOWING A LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EARLY THIS
MORNING. I EXPECT THESE WINDS LATER THIS MORNING TO BECOME ERRATIC
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES TOWARDS AND THEN ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL LIKELY VARY BETWEEN SOUTHEAST AND NORTHEAST AND BE
GUSTY...BUT SHOULD SHIFT TO AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BY
AFTERNOON.

IT WILL BE DRY TODAY WITH NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.

DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW.

LET US KNOW HOW THIS FORECAST PANS OUT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(39 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 6 MPH UNTIL 1000 THEN NORTHEAST
                    10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1300
                    THEN EAST TO SOUTHEAST 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(29 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 4 TO 10 MPH TIL 1000 THEN SOUTHEAST
                    5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.BLACK.01/PUB