FNUS75 KPUB 281151 AAA
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND GULCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
551 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH WARM DRY
CONDITIONS.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE DIURNALLY AND TERRAIN
DRIVEN AND COULD BE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES.
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW MORNING
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY
AFTERNOON.  THESE WINDS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

TOOK A LOOK AT DISPERSALS FOR TODAY...VENTING WILL NOT BE GREAT
BUT FEEL WE WILL SEE ENOUGH FOR FAIR DISPERSALS BY THIS AFTERNOON
AS WINDS INCREASE.  AS WINDS SHIFT SOUTHEAST BY LATE AFTERNOON
EXPECT DISPERSALS TO FALL BACK INTO THE POOR CATEGORY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO
                    10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH BY 1100.  WINDS WILL
                    SHIFT SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH
                    AROUND 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3500 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1200...THEN 10500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN EAST UNTIL
                    0200...THEN NORTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH..
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200 THEN FAIR THROUGH 1700.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...TY WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.SANDG.01/PUB