FNUS75 KRIW 282234
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN SPRINGS RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
434 PM MDT WED SEP 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1625 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AS OF 4 PM...THE COLD FRONT HAD PUSHED INTO CASPER...BUT DUE TO
THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THE FRONT...IT WILL INITIALLY HAVE A HARD TIME
REACHING THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER...AROUND SUNSET THE COLD FRONT WILL
SURGE SOUTHWARD AND SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE WILDFIRE AREA ABOUT 7
PM. AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE...EXPECT BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN A BIT AND SHIFT A BIT MORE
EASTERLY. IN WAKE OF THIS FRONT...MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER HUMIDITY WILL OCCUR THURSDAY. WARMER AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    SWITCHING QUICKLY TO THE NORTH...THEN NORTHEAST
                    10-15 MPH AROUND 7 PM. GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS
                    THEN DECREASING TO 6-11 MPH BETWEEN MIDNIGHT
                    AND 0200. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
                    15 TO 25 MPH AROUND 7 PM...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 0200.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL
                    BY 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
                    15 TO 25 MPH AROUND 7 PM...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 0200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) BY NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10-15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. COULD HAVE A SMALL WINDOW OF LOW FAIR
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...WARMER...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...ORRIN CONNELL FIRE TRAX
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.INDIA.02/RIW