FNUS75 KRIW 291143
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOWLIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
543 AM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1910 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOME LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED FROM NEAR THE NOWLIN FIRE THIS
MORNING...BUT THE WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST
EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. OTHERWISE...A DRY AND MILD DAY IS
EXPECTED WITH LIGHT AND MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS. WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND LOWER RH ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRUSH THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY
ON SUNDAY. A MUCH STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED MID TO LATE
NEXT WEEK.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT)...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (15 PERCENT) BY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH AROUND 1400.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 1000...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH
                    AFTER 1500.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 1000...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH
                    AFTER 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    AROUND 2200.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL
                    BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    AROUND 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BY 2000.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (71000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...TRACY STULL
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110928.NOWLI.01/RIW