FNUS76 KSTO 290100
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURST COMPLEX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
600 PM PDT WED SEP 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD
TODAY RESULTING IN A LITTLE MORE WIND OVER THE BURN SITE THAN IN
PREVIOUS DAYS. TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM AND DRY...BUT A
COOLING TREND WILL BEGIN ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER
THE AREA. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
MAINLY EAST OF THE FIRE SITE AND EAST OF THE CREST. THE COOLING
TREND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY (THURSDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 AT 6000 FT...AROUND 75 AT 7300 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-22 PERCENT AT 6000 FT...25-30 PERCENT AT
                    7300 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT AT 6000 FT...AND 50-60 PERCENT
                    AT 7300 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO GROUND LEVEL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
                    EAST AND SOUTH OF THE FIRE SITE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 AT 6000 FT...AROUND 68 AT 7300 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT AT 6000 FT...AROUND 35 PERCENT
                    AT 7300 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8000 TO 9000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...BRENT KAISER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110928.BURST.01/STO

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