FNUS73 KUNR 281347
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR POOL 9 ISLANDS...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
747 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE THIS MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE
FOUND ACROSS THE BURN AREA AGAIN TODAY. AFTER A WARM START THIS
MORNING WITH LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL SWITCH AROUND TO
THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST CLOSE TO NOON...AND BECOME BREEZY AT 15 TO
20 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 MPH FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 TO 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...TODD SCHMIDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110928.POOL9.01/UNR