FNUS71 KAKQ 291037 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR LATERAL WEST...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 637 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TODAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY...USHERING IN BREEZY...MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (2400-39000 FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (59300-99700 FT-MPH) IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. ADI.................7...INCREASING TO 65. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............77 77 77 72 64 56 47 39 35 35 36 36 WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP................72 72 72 73 78 80 82 83 84 84 85 84 RH..................93 93 90 79 67 60 55 51 48 46 45 46 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.3 3.4 4.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 3 5 6 8 10 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 10 12 14 16 20 21 21 21 21 21 20 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 2 3 11 24 39 59 79 97 100 100 93 LVORI...............6 6 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................5 5 5 9 29 53 69 60 66 67 67 63 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (20100-52100 FT-MPH)...DECREASING TO VERY POOR (900-1700 FT-MPH) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............4. ADI.................58...DECREASING TO 4. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............30 23 16 15 13 12 11 9 8 8 9 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................81 76 72 70 69 68 67 66 65 64 63 63 RH..................51 62 73 76 78 78 81 81 84 84 87 87 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.7 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD......9 7 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 12 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 VRATE KT-FT/1000....52 20 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 LVORI...............1 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 ADI.................58 29 6 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 15 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (1200-42900 FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (49000-86400 FT-MPH) IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. ADI.................4...INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 59 LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 79 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 71...DECREASING TO 41 LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............11 12 13 16 20 23 30 36 43 49 55 61 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................63 63 64 68 73 78 79 79 79 79 79 78 RH..................87 87 87 73 62 50 47 45 44 42 42 42 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.2 3.2 4.1 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.4 20 FT WIND DIR......S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 6 7 12 17 22 23 22 20 17 15 13 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 2 9 24 43 63 78 86 73 60 49 LVORI...............6 6 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................2 2 3 5 36 59 76 82 82 71 44 37 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...ALBRIGHT REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110929.LATER.01/AKQ