FNUS74 KLUB 291546 FWSLUB FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTH 104 FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SVC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1046 AM CDT THU SEP 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1018 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS ALREADY STARTING TO SWING AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF A MODERATELY STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGER NORTHEAST WINDS WILL FOLLOW LATER IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING...COMBINED WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS NEAR 20 PERCENT...WHICH WILL THREATEN RAPID SPREAD POTENTIAL IN ANY UNBURNED AREAS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT WITH A LIGHT NORTHEAST BREEZE AND COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FRIDAY. SHOWER CHANCES APPEAR MINIMAL WITH THIS FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO NEARLY1 14000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WEST WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........25 27 30 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 83 89 93 RH..............36 28 23 20 20 FT WIND......W 7 N 5 NE 8 NE 18 20 FT WIND GUST.9 15 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 5 N 5 NE 8 NE 18 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 15 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 24 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 17 TO 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........35 37 41 44 44 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............91 81 71 68 65 61 RH..............20 26 35 36 40 46 20 FT WIND......NE 24 NE 24 NE 18 NE 11 NE 10 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 30 25 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 16 NE 226 NE 15 NE 11 NE 10 NE 8 EYE LEVEL WIND..35 32 25 25 20 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MCQUEEN REQUESTED BY...BILL HAMILTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110929.SOUTH.01/LUB