FNUS76 KMFR 290523
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAZE...USFS/GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1023 PM PDT WED SEP 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL PROVIDE FOR SUNNY AND WARM WEATHER TODAY.
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO COOL FRIDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO
PUSH INTO THE NORTHWEST. COOLER AND POSSIBLY WET WEATHER WITH THEN
MOVE INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...BUT CONFIDENCE ON RAINFALL IS
MARGINAL. IF IT DOES RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND...THE BEST CONFIDENCE
POINTS TO SATURDAY AND AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. A MAJOR LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN EARLY MONDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WHICH WILL LIKELY END FIRE SEASON WITH COOL WEATHER AND
WETTING RAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 1-2 MPH EARLY MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    2-4 MPH THROUGH NOON. THEN...SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-5
                    MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......ZERO...INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST THEN WEST
                    10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............61     60     66     75     82     84
RH..............52     55     52     39     26     23

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10-15 SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3 TO
                    6 MPH LATER IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH 0-5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    10-12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............63     58     63     70     76     77
RH..............58     69     64     49     35     35

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 52
TO 57. HIGHS 64 TO 74. LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 48 TO 53.
HIGHS 60 TO 65. LIGHT WIND.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 49 TO 54. HIGHS 57 TO 64. SOUTH WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110929.BLAZE.01/MFR