FNUS75 KPUB 292046
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...USFS- RGF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
246 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AND GRADUALLY SHIFT AROUND
FROM A LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY COMPONENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ON FRIDAY...WINDS WILL START OUT FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH A FEW
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  HOWEVER
WITH AFTERNOON HEATING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE...THEN SHIFT
AROUND FROM THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.  WINDS SPEEDS
AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS ARE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.  THERE COULD BE AN
ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
HOWEVER THESE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOCALIZED...WITH LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(29 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10-20 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110929.BLACK.02/PUB