FNUS75 KPUB 291010
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUR ELK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
410 AM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE INFLUENCES OF A COOL FRONT MOVING DOWN THE COLORADO PLAINS THIS
MORNING WILL MAKE IT INTO THE UPPER ARKANSAS VALLEY LATER TODAY. THIS
FRONT WILL ENHANCE THE UPVALLEY 20 FOOT WIND FLOW.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SOME PASSING WEAK THUNDERSHOWERS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH COULD CAUSE THE WINDS TO BECOME ERRATIC PRIOR TO AND
DURING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(27 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(31 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42F.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(33 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH THEN UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 12000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...SALIDA RANGER DISTRICT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110929.FOURE.01/PUB