FNUS75 KRIW 301114
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASPEN CREEK FIRE...TETON INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
514 AM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2027 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. EXPECT LIGHT
WIND SPEEDS TODAY WITH A LITTLE INCREASE IN AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS
SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...ROSS

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE AT 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER 1200
                    WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....VARIABLE AT 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL NOON.
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1200
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 1900.
                    THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 6 MPH
                    BY 2200.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2000.
                    THEN SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER 2000.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2000.
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 2000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...BECOMING POOR BY MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN WEST
                    TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1100...GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AT TIMES.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN WEST
                    TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER 1100.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...S HORSE FEMO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110929.ASPEN.01/RIW