FNUS75 KGJT 300450
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH FLANK...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1050 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BEGINS TO SLIP EASTWARD
BUT WILL STILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE FRIDAY. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY. FAVORABLE SMOKE DISPERSION WILL
BE LIMITED TO THE AFTERNOON WHEN DAYTIME HEATING PROMOTES GOOD
LOFT. WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN. EXPECT SMOKE TO SETTLE QUICKLY EARLY
IN THE EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. MOISTURE SPREADS INTO
UTAH THIS WEEKEND.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1400...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BY 1200. OVER
                    RIDGETOPS AFTER 1200...WEST 5-7 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......LESS THAN 500 UNTIL 1200...THEN INCREASING TO 780
                    BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1300...THEN 10000 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH BY 1200. AFTER 1200...
                    WEST 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110930.NORTH.02/GJT