FNUS76 KMFR 300520
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAT HILL BURN...GRAYBACK FORESTRY INC.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1020 PM PDT THU SEP 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS OVER THE
FIRE AREA TODAY BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE OFF TO THE EAST AND AN
INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. SCATTERED
CIRRUS EARLY SHOULD GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS IN
THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHER
HUMIDITY THAN YESTERDAY. THE FIRST CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE
INCOMING TROUGH COMES SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

AT 9 AM...TEMPERATURE 54.
          HUMIDITY 55-60 PERCENT.
          WIND SOUTHEAST 1-3 MPH.


SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76 BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN COOLING TO THE UPPER
                    60S BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN R/H INCREASING TO
                    40-45 PERCENT BY 1700.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WIND 1-3 MPH EARLY BECOMING SOUTH 2-4 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 7 MPH BY NOON. THEN...AFTERNOON WIND BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH AND SHIFTING
                    WEST LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH NOON.
                    AFTERNOON WINDS SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH SHIFTING WEST 5-10
                    MPH LATE.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING EAST 1-3 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING EAST 3-5 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 41 TO 46. HIGHS
61 TO 66. LIGHT WIND. CWR 10 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 43 TO 48. HIGHS 56 TO 65. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH. CWR 50 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. LOWS 44 TO 49. HIGHS 54 TO 59. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWF 60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BARREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110930.CATHI.01/MFR