FNUS75 KMSO 300314
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK CREEK EMB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
914 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WARM DRY DAY IS ON TAP FOR THE UNIT AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. EXPECT DIURNALLY/TERRAIN DRIVEN
WINDS...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ALONG THE RIDGE LINE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MAX HEATING. THE FIRE IS EXPECTED TO STAY IN THE THERMAL BELT
FRIDAY NIGHT FOR CONTINUED ACTIVE FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH POOR
RECOVERIES. SOME CLOUDS WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER LEVEL USHERS IN SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SLIGHTLY
DECREASING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING HUMIDITIES.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 BOTTOM...59-64 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT BOTTOM...26-31 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    6-8 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
                    TOP...VARIABLE 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15
                    MPH AFTER 1200 MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 BOTTOM...49-54 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT BOTTOM...45-50 PERCENT TOP.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...PHIL SHELMERDINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110930.DICKC.01/MSO