FNUS75 KBYZ 011301
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
701 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0637 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS TO THE FIRE SITE TODAY
AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY WITH SOME
CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
A FEW DEGREES WARMER TODAY THAN FRIDAY WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER
70S. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WITH READINGS
BACK IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S. WINDS TODAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO
THOSE EXPERIENCED ON SATURDAY MAINLY WEST 5 TO 15 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOOLEY
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111001.RESER.02/BYZ