FNUS75 KGJT 011630
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER MEADOWS...SJNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1030 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0951 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION
BUT GRADUALLY SLIPPING EASTWARD LEAVING THE GENERAL WIND FLOW FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. UNFORTUNATELY THE WINDS ARE STILL LIGHT UNDER THIS
HIGH EXPECT RIDGETOP WINDS TO BE AROUND 10 MPH AND LIGHTER IN THE
VALLEY...WHICH MAY BE MORE TERRAIN INFLUENCED. MARGINAL MOISTURE
IN PLACE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND DRIFTING LOWER THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AND PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS FAIRLY LIGHT. EXPECT QUICKLY DEVELOPING INVERSIONS THIS EVENING
NEAR SUNSET FOR POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL AND MID SLOPE THERMAL BELTS AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERS TO NEAR 50 PERCENT BY MID NIGHT ON THE VALLEY
FLOOR. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR SUNDAY WITH AFTERNOON
CONVECTION POSSIBLE AND WINDS LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THIS MORNING BECOMING FAIR BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 THROUGH 1200...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5  TO 10 MPH THIS EVENING...BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-7 MPH AFTER SUNSET. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE EARLY EVENING...QUICKLY DROPPING TO POOR
                    AROUND SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 THROUGH 2100 THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (50-60%) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 THROUGH 1200 THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...LINDA MURRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111001.BEAVE.01/GJT