FNUS75 KGJT 012220
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER MEADOWS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
420 PM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1541 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD AND WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MOISTURE IS ALSO MOVING UP
FROM THE SOUTH AND WITH WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING
OVERHEAD...STORMS AND SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS EVENING AND SHOULD DIE DOWN QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. EXPECT A
REPEAT PERFORMANCE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH A LITTLE
MORE COVERAGE EXPECTED. MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE
BRIEF AND VARIABLE GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. OVERALL THOUGH...WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST AT
RIDGETOP WHILE BEING MORE TERRAIN DRIVEN IN THE VALLEYS. FOR
MONDAY...AN ALMOST EXACT REPEAT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH MORE
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DROPPING TO POOR JUST AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY NOON.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.


.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DROPPING TO POOR JUST AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD BY 2PM.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...HON SCHLAPHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111001.BEAVE.02/GJT