FNUS75 KMSO 010320
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK CREEK EMB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
920 PM MDT FRI SEP 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2101 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY...WARM AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ON THE FIRE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A PASSING SURFACE THERMAL
BOUNDARY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES SIMILAR TO FRIDAYS
READINGS DESPITE INCREASED CLOUD COVER. GIVEN THE SOUTHWEST
DRAINAGE OF THE FIRE...WINDS WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND BE BREEZY THROUGH EARLY EVENING. CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT WITH VIRGA NEAR THE FIRE IS EXPECTED WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SOME THUNDER. THESE SHOWERS WILL BRING ERRATIC WINDS
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN UP AND
HUMIDITIES POOR ON THE RIDGE TOP SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS SEEING WINDS DECOUPLE WITH FAIR RECOVERIES. SUNDAY WILL
SEE SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND HUMIDITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 BOTTOM...65-70 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT BOTTOM...25-30 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7-9 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH AT RIDGETOP AND NEAR STORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 BOTTOM...62-67 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT BOTTOM...29-34 PERCENT TOP.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...JAREL KURTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111001.DICKC.01/MSO