FNUS75 KMSO 011611
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINT EMERY SOUTH RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1011 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE DOMINANT FLOW FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE
SOUTHWESTERLY...BUT A DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THIS
FLOW AND WILL PROVIDE DENSE CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE UNIT...EXPECT AN
EASTERLY GRADIENT TODAY...WHILE AT THE UPPER ELEVATIONS THE
DOMINANT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE PRESENT. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
OF AN ISSUE FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON HOWEVER AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN...RESULTING IN GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 25
MPH (AND POSSIBLY STRONGER NEAR THE TOP OF THE UNIT) THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. HUMIDITIES WILL STAY ELEVATED TODAY BUT AN OVERALL
IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY ASIDE FROM THE
INCREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...67-71. TOP...70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...26-31 PERCENT. TOP...23-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4-7 MPH AT LOWEST ELEVATIONS...SOUTHWEST 6-9
                    MPH AT THE UPPER ELEVATIONS OF THE UNIT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...89-95 PERCENT. TOP...32-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...23-29 PERCENT. TOP...-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH...BECOMING GUSTY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME GUSTS TO 20
                    TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111001.PAINT.01/MSO