FNUS75 KPIH 011728
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWMILL RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1128 AM MDT SAT OCT 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING JUST NORTH OF THE BURN AREA THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

.DISCUSSION...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRAWN NORTH ACROSS
THE FIRE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE EVEN TONIGHT WITH INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 AT 6600 FEET.
                    60-65 AT 9200 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT AT 6600 FEET.
                    22-27 PERCENT AT 9200 FEET.
WIND (20 FT)........AT 6600 FEET...VARIABLE 2 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    AT 9200 FEET...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11700-12100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................1...THEN 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 AT 6600 FEET AT ALL ELEVATIONS.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT AT ALL ELEVATIONS.
WIND (20 FT)........AT 6600 FEET...SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 4-9 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
                    12 MPH.
                    AT 9200 FEET...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 25 MPH THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................3...THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
                    THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 AT 6600 FEET.
                    58-63 AT 9200 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT AT 6600 FEET.
                    28-33 PERCENT AT 9200 FEET.
WIND (20 FT)........AT 6600 FEET...SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 12 MPH
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 22 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    AT 9200 FEET...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15MPH WITH
                    GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10600-11000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................1...THEN 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KEYES
REQUESTED BY...STEVE CLEZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111001.SAWMI.02/PIH