FNUS75 KRIW 021015 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR PHELPS MORAINE RX...TETON INTERAGENCY DISPATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 415 AM MDT SUN OCT 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2045 MDT ON OCTOBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND COOLER AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY HIGHER TODAY. WARMER...DRIER AND BREEZIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THOUGH ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN TO GENERATE ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MEUNIER .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING WITH PASSING LIGHT SHOWERS AT TIMES THROUGH 1200. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72. MIN HUMIDITY........32-35 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 1000...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH LATE MORNING...AND THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH AROUND 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 40 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 6300-7300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000...BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH 2100 THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........80-83 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL THROUGH 2000...DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THROUGH SUNSET...BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74. MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 1000...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH LATE MORNING...GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL THROUGH 1000...INCREASING TO 6800-7800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000...INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MEUNIER REQUESTED BY...EIGHME REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111001.PHELP.01/RIW