FNUS75 KBYZ 021259
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
659 AM MDT SUN OCT 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0645 MDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY AND MONDAY. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
SATURDAY BUT STILL VERY WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. EXPECT GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON.
HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TODAY IN THE LOWER 20S. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES MONDAY TO BE SIMILAR TO TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOOLEY
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111002.RESER.01/BYZ