FNUS75 KFGZ 021415
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TANNER FIRE...TNF TONTO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
715 AM MST SUN OCT 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0641 MST ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER TEXAS AND LOW PRESSURE JUST
OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW ACROSS ARIZONA. AS A RESULT...THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND MONDAY...ESPECIALLY WITH DAYTIME HEATING. AWAY
FROM STORMS WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT TODAY BUT BY MONDAY...AS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST LOW APPROACHES ARIZONA...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME
A BIT MORE GUSTY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....RANGING FROM 70-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS UNTIL 0900 LST BECOMING
                    SOUTH AT 3-6 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (38600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......386.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE
                    REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2000 LST
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......6.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS UNTIL 1000 LST BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (84700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......847.

$$
FORECASTER...MCCOLLUM
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY HUMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111002.TANNE.01/FGZ