FNUS75 KPUB 021610
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1010 AM MDT SUN OCT 2 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT THE
BURN SITE BY LATE AFTERNOON TODAY AND INTO THE MIDEVENING HOURS.  OF COURSE
IT THESE DO DEVELOP IN THE AREA...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC
AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

ON MONDAY...WE COULD SEE A LITTLE EARLIER START TO THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND THE SAME POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS.

TEMPS TODAY WILL BE MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY.  THERE WILL PROBABLY BE MORE
CLOUD COVER ON MONDAY AND SO THE MAX TEMPS MAY BE JUST A LITTLE COOLER.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(41 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400 THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200 THEN 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND.........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200 THEN
                     SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 12300 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111002.BLACK.01/PUB