FNUS75 KRIW 031025
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED ROCK...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
425 AM MDT MON OCT 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2010 MDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRIER AND WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE FIRE TODAY...THOUGH ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL LINGER
FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND A STRAY THUNDERSTORM.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT. A TREND TOWARD COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER WILL BEGIN
TUESDAY AS THE FIRST WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO WESTERN WYOMING
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AS THIS FRONT
APPROACHES. A MUCH MORE POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL PLOW INTO THE
NORTHWEST U.S. ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING GOOD CHANCES OF WETTING PRECIPITATION
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BY
THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING.
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A STRAY THUNDERSTORM
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 1000 AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH BETWEEN 1200 AND 1400.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FEET THROUGH 1000...INCREASING TO
                    6900-7900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 1000...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD AFTER 1400.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2100. ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-88 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH
                    THROUGH 2000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THROUGH 2000...DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-34 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO
                    4700-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...GREY HILLS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20111002.REDRO.01/RIW