FNUS75 KABQ 031513
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED MESA RX...CAF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
913 AM MDT MON OCT 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
A RAPID PATTERN CHANGE WILL EVOLVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO IN THE
COMING DAYS AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL IMPACT THE REGION. TODAY
WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND
SEASONAL VALUES. HUMIDITIES WILL BE A TAD HIGHER WITH A BETTER CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. IT
APPEARS SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY WITH ERRATIC BEHAVIOR POSSIBLE
NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS. BETTER RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH MOST
OF THE PRECIPITATION ENDING PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT. AN APPROACHING WAVE IN
THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BRING A BETTER OPPORTUNITY
FOR SHOWERS/STORMS TO THE REGION ON TUESDAY. READINGS WILL BE COOLER
AND HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER. VENTILATION RATES WILL SOAR ON TUESDAY
AS WINDS ALOFT INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE DISTURBANCE. DPORTER

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 10/3/11
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-70.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                       GUSTS UP TO 19 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 16 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/152000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/34252 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/141444 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                       SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37-41.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 79-84 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                       19 MPH...BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER
                       6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...WITH THE
                       BEST CHANCES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62-66.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 34-39 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 9
                       TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO
                       22 MPH. GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 20 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/170000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/93375 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...46

$$

REQUESTED BY...CARLOS MURILLO
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111003.REDME.01/ABQ